All you have to do is look at the dominant economic theories
perpetrated today. Google “money velocity”. The one that progressively stands
out is that money velocity doesn't matter.
(1) 'Velocity Of Money' Is Superfluous, And Gresham's Law Is
A Myth (Forbes)
(2) Velocity Does Not Have an Independent Existence (Mises
Institute)
(3) The Useless And Dangerous "Money Velocity"
Concept (Steven Saville)
There is money velocity, defined as *income* velocity, a
contrivance (make believe): where N-gDp or R-gDp is divided by some questioned
and varying measure of the money stock.
Then, alternatively, there is the velocity of
re-circulation, which is a transactions concept related to the loanable funds
theory. The loanable funds theory is based upon the expansion of credit, both
commercial bank credit (new money) and non-bank credit (existing savings),
where market clearing interest rates represent the price of credit.
Bank debits, or debits to deposit accounts, are the best
measure of this activity.
Unfortunately, according to the regressive theories
perpetrated, the G.6 Debit and Demand Deposit Turnover Release was discontinued
in September 1996. Today, neither money nor velocity are of much concern in the
FOMC’s deliberations.
To say that money velocity doesn’t matter is tantamount to
saying savings don’t matter either.
To dismiss the velocity of re-circulation is to deny that
people may dis-save. To say that money velocity is a spurious concept is to
conflate stock with flow.
Jeffrey Snider contemplates on why consumers are cutting
back on retail spending, or any kind of spending for that matter. It is
axiomatic. CAPEX outlays depend upon consumer spending. The demand for capital
goods is a derived demand, derived from primary consumer demands.
The increase in money velocity up until 1981 was the direct
result of financial engineering, of new commercial bank deposit
classifications, the relaxation of gate-keeping restrictions within the
payment’s system. Financial innovation for bank deposits plateaued in the 1st
qtr. of 1981.
Since 1981 savings have been increasingly impounded and
ensconced within the framework of the payments’ system (predominately due to
the DIDMCA of March 31st 1980). This destroys money velocity, simply because
all bank-held savings are un-used and un-spent. Why? Because from the
standpoint of the entire economy, commercial banks pay for their new earning
assets with new money, not existing deposits (a theoretical error).
The remuneration of interbank demand deposits exacerbated
the deceleration of money velocity. 100 percent reserve banking will do the
same. Japan is prima facie evidence.
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Wednesday, June 13, 2018
Velocity of Re-circulation - Sign of the Times
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